ProbabilityHardBloom L3

Question

A pack of cards is counted, face downwards, and it is found that one card is missing. Two cards are drawn and are found to be spades. Then the odds against the missing card being a spade is

Options

A.$39:11$
B.$28:11$
C.$36:11$
D.$50:11$

Solution

Sol. [Key Concept: Mis-counted pack of cards: conditional probability.]

Odds against missing card being spade

$$\begin{matrix} & \ = \frac{P(\text{~}\text{missing card is not spade \textbackslash\& 2cards drawn are spades}\text{~})}{P(\text{~}\text{missing card is spade \textbackslash\& 2cards drawn are spades}\text{~})} \\ & \ = \frac{\frac{3}{4} \times \frac{13C_{2}}{51C_{2}}}{\frac{1}{4} \times \frac{12C_{2}}{51C_{2}}} \\ & \ = \frac{3 \times 13 \times 12}{12 \times 11} = \frac{39}{11} \end{matrix}$$

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