Question
From a bag containing 10 balls, 7 balls are drawn simultaneously and replaced, then 5 balls are drawn. Find the probability that exactly 3 balls are common to the two drawings.
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Solution
Sol. [Key Concept: Hypergeometric overlap: $P(exactly\ 3\ common)$ between the two draws of the 10-ball bag.]
There are 10 distinct balls.
First drawing: 7 balls are selected and replaced.
Second drawing: 5 balls are selected.
We need exactly 3 balls common to both drawings.
After the first drawing, 7 balls are in the first set and 3 balls are outside it.
For the second drawing to have exactly 3 common balls:
Choose 3 from the 7 common balls: C(7, 3)
Choose remaining 2 from the 3 non-common balls: C(3, 2)
Total ways to choose 5 balls from 10: C(10, 5)
Therefore,
P = [C(7,3) × C(3,2)] / C(10,5)
= (35 × 3)/252
= 105/252
= 5/12
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