Question
Let the mean and variance of 7 observations $2,4,10,x,12,14,y,x > y$, be 8 and 16 respectively. Two numbers are chosen from $\{ 1,2,3,x - 4,y,5\}$ one after another without replacement, then the probability, that the smaller number among the two chosen numbers is less than 4 , is:
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Solution
Mean $(\overline{x}) = 8$ (Given)
$$\Rightarrow \frac{2 + 4 + 10 + x + 12 + 14 + y}{7} = 8 $$$\Rightarrow x + y = 14\ldots.(1)\ldots$.
Variance $\left( \sigma^{2} \right) = 16$ (Given)
$$\Rightarrow 16 = \frac{2^{2} + 4^{2} + 10^{2} + x^{2} + 12^{2} + 14^{2} + y^{2}}{7} - 8^{2} $$$\Rightarrow x^{2} + y^{2} = 100\ \ldots..(2)\ldots.$.
$$\because(x + y)^{2} = x^{2} + y^{2} + 2xy $$$\Rightarrow xy = 48$ (sum is 14 product is 48 )
Since problem states $x > y$
$\therefore x = 8$ and $y = 6$
Now set $X = \{ 1,2,3,4,6,5\}$
Now we choose two numbers one after author without replacement total outcomes $= 6 \times 5 = 30$
We want the prob. That the smaller number among the two is less than 4
$$\begin{matrix} P(\text{~}\text{smaller}\text{~} < 4) & \ = 1 - P(\text{~}\text{smaller}\text{~} \geq 4) \\ & \ = 1 - \frac{6}{30} = \frac{4}{5} \end{matrix}$$
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