ProbabilityHard

Question

Box-I contains 5 red and 4 blue balls while box-II contains 4 red and 2 blue balls. A fair die is thrown. If it turns up a multiple of 3, a ball is drawn from box-I, else a ball is drawn from box-II. Find the probabiliy of the event ′ball drawn is from box-I, if it is blue′.

Options

A.1/6
B.15/19
C.4/19
D.2/5

Solution

A → Ball from Box I,     P(A) =   P(E/A) = 4/9
B → Ball from Box II     P(B) =    P(E/B) = 2/6
E → Ball drawn is Blue   
By use of Bays theorem
P(A/E) =

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