ProbabilityHard
Question
A signal which can be green or red with probability
and
respectively, is received by station A and then transmitted to station B. The probability of each station receiving the signal correctly is
. If the signal received at station B is green, then the probability that the original signal was green is
and
respectively, is received by station A and then transmitted to station B. The probability of each station receiving the signal correctly is
. If the signal received at station B is green, then the probability that the original signal was green isOptions
A.

B.

C.

D.

Solution
Event G = original signal is green
E1 = A receives the signal correct
E2 = B receives the signal correct
E = signal received by B is green
P(signal received by B is green) = P(GE1E2) + P
P(E) =
P(G/E) =
E1 = A receives the signal correct
E2 = B receives the signal correct
E = signal received by B is green
P(signal received by B is green) = P(GE1E2) + P

P(E) =

P(G/E) =

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